Coming off a 2-1 week and I am feeling great. The more we see teams, the more informed bets we can make. Here comes my first 3-0 week (wont be my last).
Missouri at Nevada (+7.5)
Missouri beat Nevada last year 69-17 and are off to a decent start this year. Nevada is 0-2 and has been outscored 20-70. Pass defense is not a strength of Nevada (119th in the nation last year) while pass offense is the staple of Missouri's game plan. Look for an aerial attack and a lot of points. While it is a long road trip for Missouri to Reno, the Tigers just have way too many weapons for the Wolfpack to slow down. Pick: Missouri -7.5
Notre Dame at Purdue (+7)
Home dogs are the theme for week 4 in college football. Notre Dame limps into the game after a nail biting win over Michigan State. Notre Dame lost star WR Michael Floyd for the season to a broken collarbone. QB Jimmy Clausen and RB Armando Allen are game-time decisions (Clausen will play, but Allen looks iffy). So why take the Irish on the road? Purdue just doesn't possess the defense (95th in pass defense) or QB play (4 TD, 5 INT) to stay close to the Irish if they don't turn the ball over. This is the same Purdue team that lost last week to Northern Illinois at home. Pick: Notre Dame -7
South Florida at Florida State (-14)
This one looked like an exciting contest until South Florida QB Matt Grothe tore his ACL last week. It is going to be hard for a new QB to make his debut on the road vs the Seminoles. Florida State is coming off an impressive victory at BYU and could let down (see Week 2 vs Jacksonville State). I don't think Bobby Bowden will let that happen again. Look for the Seminoles to wreak havoc all day on South Florida's offense. Pick: Florida State -14
Season: 3-6
Friday, September 25, 2009
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1 comment:
Stunned by FSU. Oh well, 1-2. Got to start getting "luckier" soon.
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