Well last week didnt go as planned, but we have many more months to make up for that. I made the rookie mistake of picking games on TV that would interest people rather than going for gut feel (see South Carolina and Stanford covering). Time to get back on track. Anyways, here are this week's college lines I like (tomorrow I will do 3 NFL games):
Kansas at UTEP (+12.5)
UTEP lost at home last week to Buffalo 23-17 and Kansas is no Buffalo. UTEP gave up 37.0 ppg last year, finished 115th in total defense, 104th in rushing defense and 112th in passing defense. Kansas finished 8th in the county in passing offense and I expect Kansas to win by at least 2 TDs with starting WR Dezmon Briscoe returning from suspension. While Kansas hasn't won a non-conference road game since 2003, this game should end that streak. Pick: Kansas -12.5
Oregon State at UNLV (+7)
The Beavers continue to get no respect. Remember this is a team that has beaten USC twice in the last 3 years and won 6 bowl games this decade. UNLV gave up 32.6 ppg last year, finished 103th in total defense and 110th in rushing defense. Sounds like
Jacquizz Rogers will have a field day vs the Rebels. If he doesn't I still expect the Beavers defense (23rd in total defense in 2008) to slow down the Rebels. My only concern is a young secondary for the Beavers against a decent passing game for the Rebels. Pick: Oregon State -7
Notre Dame at Michigan (+3.5)
Notre Dame beat Michigan 35-17 last year in South Bend. Their passing game predictabily looked outstanding last week (Nevada finished 119th in passing defense in 2008). Michigan showed signs of life at QB last week with 2 true freshman leading them to victory against Western Michigan. Notre Dame returns 9 starters on offense (all 5 OL are seniors) and should be able to outscore Michigan. Michigan finished 87th in the country in pass defense last year and gave up 263 yards last week. Not good when facing a passing team. If Notre Dame's defense shows up this won't even be close. Pick: Notre Dame -3.5
Season Record: 0-3
Thursday, September 10, 2009
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1 comment:
Well, 1-2 is better than 0-3. I am getting there slowly. Next week 2-1 and then undefeated the rest of the year!
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