As the great Jerry Glanville said "The NFL stands for Not For Long" which is how long you will continue to read my picks if I don't pick some winners. Its time for me to earn some of your money back lost in Week 1 of the college season. Here we go with my NFL picks for the weekend.
Buffalo at New England (-11)
The return of Tom Brady hopefully is being underestimated by the line makers. I know teams last year didnt fare well when having to cover a spread of 10+ points, the Pats should resemble the 2007 version more than the 2008 version (won 11 games by 17+ points). In 2007, they beat the Bills by 46 and 31. Hmmm....Are the oddsmakers trying to trap us? Well when factoring in that the Bills fired their offensive coordinator last week it seems like they are in utter chaos before the season has even started. Factor in three of the Bills' starting offensive linemen have never taken an NFL snap before. Not a good thing when on the road vs a Bill Belicheck defense. Pick: NE -11
Minnesota at Cleveland (+4)
On the surface this seems like Vegas is begging us to take the Vikings. While that usually ends in a loss, I just cant walk away from this one. Cleveland waited until Tuesday to pick a starting QB and that is never a good sign this late into the preseason. The Browns finished 28th in the NFL in rushing defense last year allowing 152 ypg. That is never a good sign when going up against the beast that is Adrian Peterson (Vikes were 5th in the league in rushing offense). History would indicate that Cleveland shouldn't be able to stop the run and that gives them no chance to win this game. Pick: Minnesota -4
New York Jets at Houston (-4.5)
Everyone knows the Jets are breaking in a rookie QB this weekend. I am not sure everyone knows that the Jets will be without pass rushers Shaun Ellis and Calvin Pace and that the Texans are 12-4 at home the last 2 years (which is the 2nd best record in the NFL during that span). The Jets will have to get pressure on Matt Schaub or Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels will wreak havoc on the Jets defense. Without the best pass rushers I don't see that happening. I see Houston taking an early lead and forcing the Jets to get away from their game plan which is to run and take pressure of Sanchez. Pick: Houston -4.5
Season Record: 0-0
Thursday, September 10, 2009
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2 comments:
1-1 so far. A win by NE would push me into a winning weekend (at least NFL wise). Lets go Patriots!
Alright, 1-2 and not feeling good about this week. All you can do is make sound bets and hope they pay off. I feel a streak coming!
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