NFL Picks - Week 5

This week there appears to be a devaluing of road teams. Looking at the games 3 immediately jump out at me.

New England at Denver (+3)
Does anyone believe in the Broncos even though they are 4-0? While the defense has been outstanding this year (allowing 6.5 ppg), the offense has been mediocre. Can they score enough points to beat the Patriots? The Pats offense is showing signs of life (26 points vs Atlanta and 27 vs Baltimore the last 2 weeks). In this match up I will take the QB/Coach combo of the Patriots (Brady/Belichick) over the Broncos (Orton/McDaniels). Pick: New England -3

Indianapolis at Tennessee (+4)
While these games have been close in recent years, this Titan team isn't the same. Last week in a must win, they completely laid an egg vs Jacksonville. How is a team that is giving up 7.6 yards per pass attempt going to stop a red-hot Peyton Manning? Look for the Colts to air it out early and often. Also, always a smart bet to back Peyton Manning in a nationally televised night game. Pick: Indianapolis -4

New York Jets at Miami (+2)
The Jets have won 3 straight in Miami. Rex Ryan's defense is great at taking away what you do best. If the Dolphins are going to win this game they will need to find a way to throw the ball and protect Chad Henne. Considering the Dolphins only average 138 yards passing a game, I don't see that happening. Pick: Jets -2

Season Record: 4-8