Wednesday, October 7, 2009

College Football Picks - Week 6

My "luck" turned around last week with a 3-0 slate. As I get more information on each team, it should help us make even better picks. The first couple of weeks are always the hardest. I will be flying to Houston on Friday so the picks are coming a little earlier this week (which may help as we get better numbers from Vegas to bet on). Without further ado, here are the Week 6 picks.

Nebraska at Missouri (+3.5)
Missouri has beaten Nebraska 52-17 and 41-6 the last 2 years. That tells me that Nebraska has issues matching up against the spread offense of the Tigers. Nebraska's defense statistics look good, but they faced 3 Sun Belt teams and Virginia Tech (who isn't known for offense). Also, backing a ranked team on the road on Thursday night is usually a recipe for disaster. Pick: Missouri +3.5

Houston at Mississippi State (-1.5)
Houston is coming off a tough loss at UTEP. Mississippi State has looked better than years past but still sport a 1-3 record vs FBS competition. The key will be Houston's ability to stop the run (5.3 ypc) and Mississippi State's ability to stop the pass (8.0 ypa). The Bulldogs may control the clock, but Houston should come up with enough big plays through the air to win the game. Pick: Houston +1.5

Wisconsin at Ohio State (-16)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin 20-17 last year in Madison. Both teams want to run the ball but that fits right into the strength of both defenses. These type of games have the potential to eat up the clock fast and keep the scores down. The Badgers have also forced 3 turnovers per game on the season. It only takes 1 or 2 and this game could come down the 4th quarter. Pick: Wisconsin +16


Season Record: 7-8

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