College Football Picks - Week 12

It feels so good when what you expect to happen actually does. A 3-0 week can do wonders on a psyche. The main lesson last week was, in order to beat Vegas you have to think like Vegas. Don't let them trick you into a line that seems to good to be true. With that in mind we look to get into the black this week.

Rutgers at Syracuse (+8)
Rutgers is coming off 31-0 thrashing of South Florida. Syracuse is 0-5 in the Big East and has only stayed within 8 points of a dreadful Louisville team. Rutgers has won the last 4 meetings in this series by scores of 18, 24, 31 and 22. While the Rutgers pass defense isn't great, the turnover margins (Rutgers +12, Syracuse -9) should allow Rutgers to pull away. Pick: Rutgers -8

Stanford at CAL (O/U 63.5)
This total seems a little high and is no doubt influenced by the Stanford totals (93 and 76) the last 2 weeks. The Under in PAC-10 play is 2-5 for CAL and 3-4 for Stanford. The last 4 meetings between these two teams has produced totals of 53, 33, 43, and 30. Throw in the fact that both teams love to run the football (they average 78 rushing attempts per game combined) and the clock becomes our friend. Pick: Under 63.5

Oklahoma at Texas Tech (O/U 53)
This line reflects that the books are getting killed by the "Under" when the Sooners play. Last week was the first week all season the "Over" cashed in for Oklahoma. The last 3 totals in games between these two teams have been 86, 61, and 58. Both teams love to throw the ball and that leads to more possessions and more points. I think the fact that this game is in Lubbock helps push the line up. Pick: Over 53

Season: 16-17