Thursday, November 12, 2009

College Football Picks - Week 11

It has been a rough year so far, but it could turn around at any point. I have to start thinking like Vegas in order to beat Vegas. If a line seems too low, then I have to wonder why. With that in mind, lets look to make some picks.

Stanford at USC (-10.5)
USC has won 47 of their last 48 home games so coming home will be nice but the lone loss was against Stanford in 2007. Stanford is hitting on all cylinders right now offensively averaging 210 yards rushing and 234 yards passing per game. The USC defense has given up an average of 30 points and 451 yards over the last 4 games. Factor in that USC could be without WR Damian Williams and TE Anthony McCoy and this has close game written all over it. Pick: Stanford +10.5

Alabama at Mississippi State (+12)
Mississippi State has started to play better football year, but they dont have enough offense to compete with Alabama. The Bulldogs hung in with Florida, but it took 2 defensive tds to stay within 10 points. That isn't likely to happen again. The Bulldogs defense isnt good enough to stop the Crimson Tide running attack. This game won't even be close. Pick: Alabama -12

Indiana at Penn State (-26)
Penn State is 1-3 ATS in home games coming off a loss to Ohio State. Indiana has played much better than their 4-6 record. They stayed within 26 points in their losses to Ohio State, Iowa, and Wisconsin. The Hoosiers have covered the last 2 meetings vs Penn State and are 6-3 ATS this year. Pick: Indiana +26

Season: 13-17

3 comments:

The Sports Chef said...

I had a bad feeling about my Trojans today, but at least I was 3-0 in my picks. I did some work today. Hopefully some of you took my advice.

Dewey said...

amazing to think that the 5th best team in the Pac 10, is still #22 in the country.
How solid is that conference......
It might be impossible to do the research but, it would be interesting to find out what team was the highest ranked in the country, while being 5th best in their conference.

Florida would easily have 2 losses maybe 3 on the West Coast.

Pitt would have 5.

The Sports Chef said...

I think you are on to something Dewey. As for the mighty Trojans, I hear El Paso, Texas is beautiful in late December. Wow, I cant believe that USC could be Sun Bowl Bound...and that might be best case scenario.