I have been crunching some numbers and it might be closer than anyone thinks. Lets assume that Oklahoma, Florida, and Texas are 1, 2, and 3 in the polls (not necessarily in that order). The computers currently have Oklahoma, Texas, Alabama, Texas Tech, Utah, and Florida in that order. The difference between Texas (0.94) and Florida (0.82) is staggering. The Gators win yesterday will probably push them ahead of Alabama and Utah. But Texas is almost certain to still be ahead of Florida in the computers based on beating #1 Oklahoma. Also the computers will recognize Texas's strength of loss. They lost to #7 Texas Tech in Lubbock. Florida lost at home to unranked Ole Miss. Look for the computers to have Oklahoma and Texas 1-2 today. The question, what needs to happen to put Texas ahead of Florida? Oklahoma needs to be #1 in the Coaches poll. This will keep Florida down closer to Texas. The closer in the polls Texas can keep it, the better as they will have a higher computer number. Also, in the Harris poll Florida was #2 before beating #1 Alabama. Even if they move to #1, Texas needs Oklahoma to eat into their margin. I think it is safe to say that Florida will not receive the same amount of poll points as Alabama last week. The more votes Oklahoma gets, the better for Texas. Even if Florida ends up at #1 in the Harris it wont kill Texas necessarily since the number the BCS uses is derived from points not poll position. Go Sooners!
For those of us that hate the BCS, the best case scenario to blow it up is to have an Oklahoma vs Texas rematch. Could you imagine the belly-aching that would come from the South (and ESPN) if Florida was left out? It brings a smile to my face. Bring on the chaos!
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Update....The Coaches poll is out and it is looking much better for Florida. I thought Oklahoma would get some more votes but as of now, it is going to take some serious computer strength to get Texas in because Florida will most likely be #1 in the Harris poll later this afternoon. Boo!
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