The Bowl Season is finally here. While some conferences have been given the media love (SEC and Big 12) and some have been hammered (PAC-10 and ACC), the bowl season will give us a better idea with some head-to-head match ups. Bowl season is put up or shut up time. I love looking at the point spreads when they first come out to see what Vegas thinks about each game. Which conference does Vegas see value in? Which conference does Vegas think is a little overrated? Lets break down each of the 6 BCS conferences:
The SEC is favored in 3/8 games.
The Big 12 is favored in 5/7 games.
The Big 10 is favored in 1/7 games.
The PAC-10 is favored in 4/5 games.
The Big East is favored in 4/6 games.
The ACC is favored in 6/10 games.
SECVegas isn't buying the notion that the SEC is the best and deepest conference like some would like us to believe (yes, you ESPN). While Florida is favored to bring home the 4th BCS title in 5 years for the SEC, they will have 5 teams playing in bowls as underdogs.
Big 12Vegas appears to be buying the Big 12 as the best conference. Although Oklahoma is an underdog against SEC Florida, they will have the chance to beat the PAC-10 (Oklahoma St vs Oregon), the Big 10 (Texas vs Ohio St, Missouri vs Northwestern, Kansas vs Minnesota), ACC (Nebraska vs Clemson), and the SEC (Texas Tech vs Ole Miss. If they can win most of these games, they will stake claim to the best conference in 2008.
Big 10Yikes, what happened to this once proud conference. After going 0-4 in the BCS the last 2 years, they appeared to be heading down in the conference pecking order. Vegas has them as underdogs in 6/7 contests with Iowa the lone favorite. They will have the opportunity to quickly change their perception if they can beat USC, Texas, Georgia, Missouri, Kansas, Florida State, and South Carolina. Looks like an ugly bowl season for the Big 10.
PAC-10For a conference that has been repeatedly bashed by the media, Vegas likes them in 4/5 match ups. Part of the reason for the bashing is only having 5 teams bowl eligible, but those 5 teams seem to be quality. The lone underdog is Oregon vs Oklahoma State. Being a PAC-10 homer, I am a little surprised to see Arizona favored over #16 BYU and Oregon State favored over #20 Pitt. While they wont face the elite teams the Big 10 will, they still face 4 ranked opponents. It could be a surprisingly good bowl season for them.
Big EastThe Big East is favored in 4/6 contests. Cincinnati will have the opportunity to win the Orange Bowl for the conference, but the other games aren't going to bring much notoriety. Only 1/6 games are against ranked opponents.
ACCThe ACC has been regarded as the worst conference due to not having an elite team, but they did field an astonishing 10 bowl teams. They also went 6-4 against the SEC this season. Vegas likes them in 6/10 contests. On paper there seem to be some tough opponents (LSU, Nebraska, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Cal) but the truth is none of those teams offer the conference a chance to beat an elite opponent this year.
The Big 10 appears to have the toughest bowl schedule and it might lead to another down year for them. The PAC-10 could be the surprise conference as they have the best chance of the top conferences to go undefeated. Should Oklahoma beat Florida, it could be a long bowl season in the SEC. I can't wait until January!