Right now, I only see 6 teams that are legitimate BCS Championship game material. Here they are in the rank of how I see them ending the season:
1. Texas - They will beat Texas Tech this weekend in Lubbock and cruise to the Big 12 Championship game. They will beat Missouri in that game to finish the season undefeated and in the BCS Championship game.
2. Penn State - They will win their last three games and play Texas for cyrstal football in Miami. They might face a challenge against Michigan State, but I see them prevailing.
3. Florida - The "Cocktail Party" in Jacksonville will determine the SEC champion. Florida will beat Georgia (wonder how Florida will respond to last year's field storming by the Dogs) and play Alabama in the SEC Championship game. Florida will win, but be left out in the end due to the 2 undefeated teams above and end up in the Sugar Bowl.
4. USC - USC will run the table and most likely end up in the Rose Bowl again vs Ohio State for a rematch no one wants to see. USC also plays in Columbus early next year so it will be a game the players probably dont want either. Oregon State controls their own destiny in the Pac-10 but has a brutal stretch to navigate. I would like to see Oregon State run the table and thus set up a possible SEC-USC game.
5. Alabama - They should be able to pound LSU and win that game (might not matter as they are 2 games ahead in the SEC West), but it will be tough as Nick Saban makes his return to Baton Rouge. Alabama is got to be rooting hard for Georgia this weekend to set up a rematch in the SEC Championship game. Should they lose twice, it will be interesting to see if they can get an at-large bid over Georgia.
6. Georgia - Should they beat Florida, they will have revenge on their minds should they meet up with Alabama again. Alabama seemed physically far superior in the previous matchup and I would expect that to show up again.
The others:
Oklahoma - They need Texas to lose twice just to get into the Big 12 Championship game. That wont happen, meaning the Sooners could be left at 11-1 and hoping they arent the 2008 version of the 2007 Georgia Bulldogs. It is hard to make a case as one of the top 2 teams in the country, when you arent even the best team in your 6 team division.
Texas Tech - Tough remaining schedule with games against Texas, Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma. Not to mention a matchup with Missouri in the Big 12 Championship game should they run the table. Dont see it happening.
Projected BCS Selections:
BCS Championship Game
Texas vs Penn St.
Rose Bowl
USC vs Ohio St*
(Rose Bowl gets second shot to replace team because Penn St. is in BCS Championship Game. Ohio State would be the choice most likely due to the Rose Bowl strictly wanting any Pac-10 or Big 10 teams eligible for at-large bids)
Fiesta Bowl
Oklahoma* vs Alabama*
(Oklahoma logical choice to replace Texas. Fiesta gets first selection of at-large bids for Bowls not affected by BCS Championship Game and selects SEC Runner-up. Utah might be a thought, but tough to pass up Alabama's tradition).
Sugar Bowl
Florida vs West Virginia
(It would be nice to see Bowden play WVU but I dont see the Sugar passing up West Virginia for Utah)
Orange Bowl
Florida State vs Utah
*at-large bids
A full menu of sports information and dialogue.
6 comments:
What is on the menu today?
A little Non-Conference Souffle.
Texas Tech will beat Texas...UGA in the Title game...
How do you feel about the USC-Washington game this week?
I think if the Huskies can hold the Trojans to under 65 points and get at least 7 turnovers, they have a chance.
UGA would have to beat Florida this weekend and then Alabama in the SEC Championship game. Going to be real difficult for them. They also would need Texas and/or Penn State to lose.
If, and this is a big if, Washington can hold USC to under 65 and force 7 turnovers, they have a decent shot to cover the spread...maybe. Of course, a holding penalty might work just as well Afterall, the spread is only 45.
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