Friday, January 30, 2009

Super Bowl Predictions

It is finally time to take a look at the Super Bowl. The 12-4 Pittsburgh Steelers will be taking on the 9-7 Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals have shocked the sports world by making an improbable run to win the NFC. Can they keep it up and actually win the Super Bowl? Lets break down the game.

The Steelers are a defensive machine. They only gave up 13.9 ppg, 237 ypg, and had 51 sacks this season. The Cardinals can put up points in a hurry with their vaunted passing attack. They average 26.6 ppg and 292 ypg through the air on offense. It comes down to the old cliche, Offense vs Defense.

Keys to the game:
The big advantage for the Cardinals is that the Steelers biggest strength (Run Defense) is also the Cardinals biggest weakness (Run Offense). This means that the Cardinals probably won't try and run the ball often early, which will get the Steelers out of their base 3-4 defense. The Cardinals need to spread the field and get the Steelers in nickel and dime defenses. Advantage: Cardinals

Cardinals Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt knows the Steelers personnel inside and out. He went up against their defense every day in practice as their Offensive Coordinator. He knows the weaknesses and where to attack them. He also knows Ben Roethlisberger really well. He will know how to make him uncomfortable. Advantage: Cardinals

Injuries will play a big part in the game. The news that Big Ben had his ribs X-rayed yesterday shows that he is a little uncomfortable right now. A couple of big hits and he could be out of the game. Hines Ward did practice yesterday but it remains to be seen how effective he can be. If he can't play or get open it will be a serious problem for the Steelers offense as he is the guy they look to for big 3rd down catches. Cardinals WR Anquan Boldin looks to be healthy after getting two weeks to rest his hamstring. Advantage: Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald needs to continue his out-of-this world play if the Cardinals have a chance to win. If the Steelers decide to double team Fitzgerald all game, Anquan Boldin will eat them alive. Boldin is a beast and actually led the team in TD's in the regular season despite missing 2 games with a broken face. Advantage: Cardinals

So it appears that I am leaning towards the Cardinals in this one. The answer is yes and no. They should have some knowledge and parts to exploit the Steelers weaknesses. Even if they jump out to a lead, it will be hard for them to run the ball and keep the Steelers offense off the field. Big Ben can make plays when everything breaks down and somehow win games they shouldn't. It should be a great game. I just think their is a TD difference between the way both teams are playing right now. It seems more like a FG game to me. I think all the parts are their for a Cardinals win, but it is hard to pick a team that has lost games by 40, 28, 21, and 21. It is hard to imagine a Super Bowl Winner losing 4 games this year by 21+ points.

My Predictions
Arizona +7
Steelers 27, Cardinals 24

NBA All-Stars

With the NBA All-Star reserves announced, lets look at how I did. My predictions (bold on correct picks):

West
G Brandon Roy
G Steve Nash
G Chauncey Billups
F Dirk Nowitzki
F Pau Gasol
F Kevin Durant
C Al Jefferson

I missed on a whopping 3 picks in the West. Tony Parker, David West, and Shaquille O'Neal will play in the game. I dont think any of the 3 belong there. I will start with Shaq. I know he is an all-time great and playing better this year, but he isn't a better player than Al Jefferson right now. I believe this is the biggest snub of any because it also keeps Nash off the team. The game is in Phoenix and their best player and 2 time MVP wont be playing. The NBA should be ashamed of itself. While I dont have a big problem with Parker being selected ahead of Nash, there is no way the Suns were getting 3 players and Shaq bumps Nash. Also, David West over Kevin Durant is an absolute travesty. Durant is a much better player, he just doesn't have Chris Paul on his team. This one is baffling. I understand winning matters, but Durant vs West is a slam dunk.

East
G Devin Harris
G Danny Granger
G Joe Johnson
F Chris Bosh
F Paul Pierce
F Rashard Lewis
C David Lee

My only miss was the coaches selecting Jameer Nelson over David Lee. They put Chris Bosh at C which left David Lee off the team. I am not a fan of this choice. I think there are other players that deserve it more than Nelson. In fact, I would have chosen Ray Allen, Mo Williams, Derrick Rose or Rajon Rondo over Nelson. Not sure how the Magic got 3 players (most of any team in NBA).

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

NFL Mock Draft 21-32

Here is the final third of the first round.

21. Philadelphia - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State. The Eagles were atrocious in short yardage situations and Brian Westbrook is starting to show signs of slowing down. Wells is a big back with some wheels that can come in and take some pressure of the offense. While RB isn't a glaring need for the Eagles, the talent of Wells will be too much to pass up.

22. Minnesota - Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina. The Vikings need to get a WR that can move the chains. Bernard Berrian is more of a deep threat that isn't a good route runner or has the hands to make tough catches in traffic. Anyone who watched Nicks against West Virginia in the bowl game, knows he can make catches with people all over him. Nicks would be a perfect fit in their offense, assuming they stick with a QB.

23. New England - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC. The Patriots always seem to pick a player that produced at a high level that might be a little overlooked. Cushing at times was the best player on the field for the top rated Trojan defense. He played DE early in his career before switching to OLB when the team went to a 3-4. He is very versatile and will provide the team with some much needed youth at OLB after the Pats were forced to re-sign Junior Seau and Roosevelt Colvin late in the year.

24. Atlanta - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State. The Falcons hit it big last year with QB Matt Ryan and now will give him another weapon. Pettigrew might not be the fastest TE in the class, but he is by far the most complete. He is a very good run blocker which is necessary in the Falcons offense. He also possesses prototypical size and good hands for the position.

25. Miami - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU Bill Parcells has proven in the past that he loves big defenders with his first round picks. Jackson fits the bill for a 3-4 DE with his 6'4" 295 frame. He might remind The Tuna of another LSU DE he drafted with the Cowboys in Marcus Spears. The Dolphins could use an athletic rush LB, but with Cushing gone look for the Dolphins to improve their front seven with a run stuffing DE.

26. Baltimore - Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest. The Ravens could potentially lose 3 All-Pro LBs through free agency in Ray Lewis, Terrell Suggs, and Bart Scott. The feeling is that they will probably sign 2 of them back so LB isn't going to be their biggest need. The Ravens are getting old at CB and having a tough time keeping Chris McAllister and Samari Rolle on the field. Smith is a little bit short for a front line corner, but he fits the Ravens ball hawking defense as he had 15 interceptions in the last 2 years in college.

27. Indianapolis - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois. The Colts could have a huge need at CB is Kelvin Hayden leaves as a free agent. Davis has good size/speed ratio 5'11" 205 lbs and 4.47. He has been inconsistent in the past and playing in a Tampa 2 system could play to his advantage. He also has good bloodlines as he is the brother of 49er TE Vernon Davis.

28. Philadephia - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona. The Eagles had success last year in the first round with a PAC-10 player and might go back there with the top rated OL left on the board. Both of the Eagles starting tackles are over 34 and Britton would allow them to add much needed depth on the OL. Britton is more of a pass blocker which also lends itself to the Eagles style of offense.

29. New York Giants - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland. The Giants could use anoter big play WR assuming Plexico Burress isn't on the team in 2009. The Giants really struggled without a WR that demanded a double team down the stretch. Heyward-Bey is a world class athlete at 6'2" 205 lbs and has allegedly run a 4.23 40. The production wouldn't tell you the story of a potential #1 WR in the NFL, but the QB play at Maryland wasn't the greatest during his tenure at the school.

30. Tennessee - Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech. The Titans don't have any real needs so they could take the most intriguing player left on the board. Johnson has ideal size for a 4-3 weakside end at 6'7" 259 lbs. Johnson looks like Tarzan but hasn't played like it in his college career. The Titans have some leaders on defense and they might be able to turn on a switch with Johnson and unleash Pro-Bowl potential. A high risk, high reward pick.

31. Arizona - LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh. The Cardinals are in need of a playmaer at RB with Edgerrin James likely out the door. Tim Hightower was given a chance to cement himself as the feature back, but he didn't show anything to convince the Cardinals he is the answer. McCoy is super athletic and has the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. He could be another Brian Westbrook type creating mismatches against LBs. His only glaring weakness could be short yardage situations, but Hightower has proven he can handle those duties.

32. Pittsburgh - Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma. The Steelers always seem to pick productive players from high profile programs. They also are in need of some depth on the OL. Robinson is a mammoth guard at 6'5" 345 and could bring the Steelers run game back into prominance. He has some trouble with speed, but his talent and value at this point will be too much for the Steelers to pass up.

NFL Mock Draft 11-20

Back by popular demand, the second installment of my first round Mock Draft. Here we go:

11. Buffalo - Everette Brown, DE, Florida State. The Bills need to find a way to get pressure on the QB. Brown not only has the ability to disrupt the passing game, he is decent against the run as well. He could put on a little more weight and become a beast.

12. Denver - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC. The Broncs were atrocious last year on defense. The return of a healthy Champ Bailey should help against the pass, but they still need help against the run. Enter Rey Maualuga. He can overpursue and be too aggressive sometimes, but he is an impact type of guy who will create turnovers. He would allow DJ Williams to return to his natural WLB spot and instantly upgrade the Broncos defense.

13. Washington - Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss. The Redskins are getting old at OT with Chris Samuels and Jon Jansen winding down their careers. Jansen actually lost his job half-way thru the season only to get it back due to an injury. Oher is a physical and skillfull OL that can play either LT or RT. He should be able to contribute right away and keep the ground game running.

14. New Orleans Saints - DJ Moore, CB, Vanderbilt. Offense is not the problem for the Saints. They spent a ton of money to upgrade the defense last offseason, but CB Jason David was a complete bust. Moore is playmaker and possess the speed to matchup with the best at the next level. He is a little light, but is a great athlete. Played some WR and returned kicks as well at Vanderbilt.

15. Houston Texans - Aaron Maybin, OLB, Penn State. The Texans could use some pass rush help to take some pressure off Mario Williams. Maybin is a little undersized but he is the best pass rusher available at this point. He could create terror off the edge opposite of Williams. Teams will have to double team Super Mario, leaving Maybin the opportunity to pressure the QB.

16. San Diego Chargers - Knowshown Moreno, RB, Georgia. The Chargers need defensive help, but there is no denying the problems coming from San Diego regarding the RB situation. GM AJ Smith and LaDainian Tomlinson are having their issues and LT turns 30 this year. Backup RB Darren Sproles is also an unrestricted free agent. Moreno is a potential franchise back (40 time will help him a lot if he runs in the 4.4 range) and can contribute right away if LT leaves.

17. New York Jets - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri. The Jets could use some help at LB, but Rex Ryan could elect to sign one of his Ravens as a FA or actually get something out of Vernon Gholston. The Jets do need some help on offense as they are anything but explosive. Laverneous Coles is slowing down and becoming a possesion WR. Jerricho Cotchery is also a possession WR. Maclin would provide the Jets with instant athleticism on the perimeter. He is the deep threat they desperately need to open up the offense.

18. Chicago Bears - Percy Harvin, WR/RB, Florida. The Bears lack weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Devin Hester is starting to become a decent WR, but is nowhere near a #1 type of guy. Harvin can lineup in the slot or out of the backfield and create havoc. Matt Forte has shown the ability to split out wide and catch the ball. Harvin, Hester, and Forte on the field should get someone on a LB or S and give the Bears an easy advantage to exploit. Harvin won't be an everydown RB or #1 WR, but he can be a playmaker and move the chains.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss. The Buccaneers need to get younger and more explosive along the defensive line. Jerry shined at the Senior Bowl and is rising up the draft boards. He has the size (6'3" 310 lbs) and dominated as a senior. He should fit in nicely as a penetrating 3 technique DT for the Bucs but isnt in the athletic class of Warren Sapp.

20. Detroit Lions - James Laurinaitis, MLB, Ohio State. The Lions definitely need to upgrade the front seven on defense. Laurinaitis should be able to step in and give the Lions a physical pressence in the middle. Ernie Sims already is a star in the making at OLB and Laurinaitis should take some of the pressure off of him. He has seen his stock drop recently due to dropping out of the Senior Bowl, but he is the second best ILB prospect in the draft and a strong showing at the combine could easily see him rise back up since his production in college was off the charts.

Tomorrow picks 21-32.

Monday, January 26, 2009

NBA All-Star Reserves

Yes, 2 blogs in one day. Can you believe it? For those of you who follow the NBA, lets look at who should be reserves for the NBA All-Star Game. I am using the format that each roster will consist of 12 players (5 starters already announced, so that leaves 7 reserves). These 12 players will consist of 5 Guards, 5 Forwards, and 2 Centers (unless there really is no one and I can make a case for a PF).

West Starters
G Chris Paul
G Kobe Bryant
F Tim Duncan
F Amare Stoudemire
C Yao Ming

Reserves
Brandon Roy, SG, Trailblazers. This guy should be a slam dunk as a reserve guard as he is averaging 22.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg, and 5.3 apg on a team that is currently sitting 6th in the West.

Steve Nash, PG, Suns. The game is in Phoenix and Nash is 3rd in the league in assists at 9.2 per game. He is shooting better from the floor, 3 point line, and free throw line than Deron Williams or Chauncey Billups. He is a 2 time MVP so he will get consideration ahead of some other guys. His numbers are down with Mike D'Antoni but he is still the 2nd best PG in the West.

Chauncey Billups, PG, Nuggets. One of the toughest calls will be the 3rd reserve guard. It should come down to Billups and Deron Williams. Billups has pushed the Nuggets to first place in the Northwest Division and 3rd overall will consistent play since his arrival from Detroit. The fact that he has done it for the most part without Carmelo Anthony is shocking. Billups gets the nod. He is averaging 19.7 ppg and 6.7 apg.

Kevin Durant, SF, Thunder. He will be an interesting case. He is on the worst team in the league, but his numbers scream superstar in the making. He is averaging 24.6 ppg (3rd in West) while shooting 47% from the floor, 42% behind the arc, and 86% from the charity stripe. He might not make it, but he should.

Dirk Nowitzki, PF, Mavericks. The Diggler is averaging 25.8 ppg (2nd in the West) and grabbing 8.5 rpg. He is second in FT% to Nash in the West. He should be an easy choice.

Pau Gasol, PF, Lakers. The Spanish Fly has transformed the Lakers to the power in the West. His numbers aren't eye-popping but they are the consistent threat Kobe needs to elevate the Lakers. Gasol is averaging 17.5 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 3.4 apg, and shooting 56% from the floor. He should edge out this spot on helping the Lakers get to the #1 seed in the West.

Al Jefferson, C, Timberwolves. Big Al is averaging 22.6 ppg (4th in West) and 10.6 rbg (3rd in West). His team isn't playoff bound which will hurt his cause, but his numbers are too strong to leave him out. Shaq will get some sympathy because he is playing better and the game is in Phoenix, but his time has past.

East Starters
G Dwayne Wade
G Allen Iverson
F Lebron James
F Kevin Garnett
C Dwight Howard

Reserves
Devin Harris, PG, Nets. Tough call between Harris and Jose Calderon, but Harris has been the better player this year. He is averaging 21.8 ppg while dishing out 6.4 apg. He is also swiping 1.6 steals per game which is 10th in the East.

Danny Granger, SG, Pacers. The only question for Granger making the team is what position is he going to be named at. He has been played a lot of SG this year and I think he makes the most sense there. He is averaging 26.2 ppg (3rd in the East) and getting 5.1 rpg.

Joe Johnson, SG, Hawks. The Hawks should have a representative based on the season they are having and Johnson is the best candidate. He has been an All-Star before and it would be nice for him to return to Phoenix as one this year. He is quietly averaging 21.6 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 6.2 apg. Solid numbers across the board for a player whose team currently sits 4th in the East.

Paul Pierce, SF, Celtics. The reigning Finals MVP is having another solid year for the defending champs. He is averaging 19.1 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.7 apg and providing solid leadership and clutch plays for the C's.

Chris Bosh, PF, Raptors. Bosh is shoe-in for a spot on the team this year. He is averaging 23.3 ppg (4th in the East) and 9.8 rpg (6th in East). He shouldn't have to run anymore Youtube campaigns as he is a legitimate All-Star for years to come.

Rashard Lewis, PF, Magic. This was a tough call between Lewis and teammate Hedo Turkoglu. The Magic should have 2 All-Stars based on their emergence in the East (sorry Cavs are Lebron only this year in the All-Star department). Lewis is averaging 19.2 ppg and 6.1 rpg. He is also hitting 3 three pointers a game while shooting 42% behind the arc.

David Lee, C, Knicks. Tough to find a backup center in the East, but Lee does play a lot at that position for the Knicks. While not a prototypical big man, he has been a beast on the boards this year for the Knickerbockers. Lee is averaging 15.7 ppg and 11.5 rpg (3rd in the East) while shooting 57% from the floor.

I am sure some of you will have some guys that I left off the team. Lets hear who should be on the team and who they should replace.

Early NFL Mock Draft

Sorry, I have been a little lazy since the New Year. Lets start off with my Top 10 of my NFL Mock Draft.

1. Detroit - Matt Stafford, QB, Georgia. I don't think a QB is a slam dunk, but I think they will lean towards Stafford due to his big arm and ability to get the ball down field to Calvin Johnson. Johnson has shown he has the ability to be a great one and getting a QB that can get the ball down field should be a priority. They also have the 20th pick in the first round and will have the chance to shore up some other holes. I am sure they would love to trade the pick, but teams haven't been willing to jump up in the last half decade.

2. St. Louis - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama. The Rams desperately need to upgrade their OL and protect Marc Bulger. Andre Smith can play RT while Orlando Pace is still around and then move to LT when he retires. Smith has some issues with dealing with agents and getting suspended for the Sugar Bowl, but his overall skills will be hard to pass up for a team that needs to get better on the OL. They might also look hard at Michael Crabtree with Torry Holt slowing down and wanting out of town.

3. Kansas City - Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest. New GM Scott Pioli has learned from his Patroit days, that drafted a QB high isn't the only way to survive in the NFL. Tyler Thigpen played well enough to get another shot next year, before Matt Cassell becomes available in the near future. Also, I assume that they will move from a 4-3 formation to a 3-4 with Pioli and rumored new head coach Todd Haley. They will need someone to get after the QB in that system and Curry can give them that.

4. Seattle - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech. The Seahawks desperately need a playmaker at WR to give Matt Hasselbeck a chance to get them back among the elite in the NFC. Deion Branch showed that he has a chance to return to being a very good player, but he is too small to be considered a true #1 WR. Crabtree is the best WR in the draft and can be a nightmare for DB's with his ability to shield defenders with his body and make acrobatic catches. While not a burner, he can get separation with his quickness and burst.

5. Cleveland - Michael Jenkins, CB, Ohio State. The Browns could really use a franchise back, but none are rated as high as Jenkins. New head coach Eric Mangini is a defensive guy and the Browns need to shore up a bad pass defense. Jenkins has NFL prototype size for a CB and played at a big time program. The locals should also love this pick with a Buckeye staying home.

6. Cincinnati - BJ Raji, DT, Boston College. The Bengals desperately need to upgrade the DL and Raji was the talk of the Senior Bowl. Last year they desperately wanted USC DT Sedrick Ellis and some believe Raji can be even better because he is bigger. Raji was unblockable by almost all accounts at the Senior Bowl. He is rising and at the combine can really cement himself in the Top 10.

7. Oakland - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia. The Raiders need to get better at LT and Monroe is a natural fit. Monroe was so good in college that Brandon Albert, Chiefs LT that was a first rounder last year, had to play G for the Cavaliers. The Raiders need to upgrade their pass rush and Al Davis loves speed, but LT was a major problem area last year and Monroe is the best player on the board.

8. Jacksonville - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor. The Jaguars had all kinds of problems on the OL last year and Smith would help them out greatly. Jack Del Rio loves to run the ball and getting a player like Smith would allow him to continue that. This pick would make 3 OL in the Top 8.

9. Green Bay - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas. The Packers need to get better at rushing the passer. Aaron Kampman is a beast, but outside of him, no one has shown the ability to consistently get to the qb. The release of Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila during the season only makes this spot more urgent to fill. A good secondary would only get better if the pass rush improves.

10. San Francisco - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC. The 49ers need a franchise QB to make people forget about the Alex Smith project. Sanchez would fit perfectly in a West Coast Offense with his accuracy and ability to move around in the pocket. It will be interesting to see who Mike Singletary chooses as his Offensive Coordinator. Sanchez only started 16 games in his college career and will need to sit and learn for at least a year. The 49ers should be able to allow that with Shaun Hill showing late last year he is an adequate stopgap type.

Tomorrow picks 11-20.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Wake Forest...Final Four Bound?

After Wake Forest beat North Carolina on Sunday, it appears more than ever that they are a team that will make a serious run at the school's second Final Four in school history (1962). Wake Forest boasts a talented and tall front court (5 players in the rotation that are 6'9" or taller) to go along with a killer PG in All-American candidate Jeff Teague (2nd in ACC in scoring, 7th in assists, 1st in 3PT%). They are extremely athletic at every position. All-everything freshman Al-Farouq Aminu is proving to be the real deal chipping in 12.7 ppg while cleaning the glass at 8.7 rbg (7th in ACC). They only potential roadblock to the Final Four is that they don't have a senior in their starting lineup (2 JR's, 2 SO's, and 1 FR). Look for Wake Forest to get a #1 or #2 seed and make a serious run in March. It should be exciting to watch this squad grow and get better and see if they can do something Tim Duncan and Randolph Childress couldn't do. I think they can and will do it.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

BCS Champs

New man law...
"No more Oklahoma or Ohio State in the BCS Championship Game for at least 5 years".
Now that we have that settled, congrats to the Florida Gators for winning their 2nd BCS title in 3 years and for the SEC for winning their 3rd straight and 4th in 6 years. I still don't think Florida would beat USC, but we will never know. For some reason, the voters keep falling into the same trap. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. What is the saying for fool me 5 times?

This game should put the nail in the coffin for Oklahoma being "chosen" to play in the big game. Oklahoma has now lost 5 straight BCS games. Ohio State has lost 3 straight BCS games. That is 8 consecutive losses in BCS games for these two storied programs. What bothers me more than anything is that combined they have lost 5 of the last 6 BCS Championship Games, but for whatever reason the voters keep giving them both the benefit of the doubt. Also, they have been ranked #1 in the computers heading in to the last 4 BCS Championship games. As for the computers, if they were so smart, then why has the #2 team won 4 years in a row and 6 out of the last 7 years?

I would also like to thank ESPN and ABC for shoving The Big 12 Flag Football Conference down every one's throats all season. Here is all you need to know about the vaunted Big 12 South. The Big 4 (Oklahoma, Texas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State) scored 26.8 in their bowl games after averaging 46.0 during the season. They gave up 245.0 yards rushing in their bowl games after giving up only 109.2 during the season. Only 2 out of 119 teams gave up more rushing yards per game during the college football season. Can you say OVERRATED! Too bad no one in this country can think on their own and resort to just listening to whatever ESPN tells them.

Hopefully next year the SEC will have to beat USC to get a title. Until they do, I will continue to believe the best team in the land doesn't reside in the deep South.

BCS Championship Game

Today is sadly the last day of college football for 9 months. Florida will take on Oklahoma for the BCS Championship. Florida is 3-1 in BCS games while Oklahoma is 2-4 including 4 straight losses.

Offense
Oklahoma scored 54.0 ppg this season while Florida averaged 45.2. Both teams have shown they can score. Both teams have Heisman Trophy QB's. Both teams have been able to run the ball effectively this year. Oklahoma will be without star tailback DeMarco Murray. Advantage: Push

Defense
The difference will be defense. Florida gives up 12.8 ppg while Oklahoma 24.5. A lot of that can be attributed to the style of offenses they faced, but Florida does have the better defense. Florida averaged 229.8 ypg rushing and that will be the difference. The Big 12 South hasn't been able to stop the rush at all in the bowl season and look for that trend to continue. Oklahoma will get frustrated by Florida's ability to keep the ball away from their offense and might start to force things and cause some turnovers. Advantage: Florida

The SEC will win their 4th BCS title in 6 years with a win over Oklahoma as they continue their futility in BCS games. Prediction: Florida 45, Oklahoma 31

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Jeff Jagodzinski is heartless!

Boston College has fired head football coach Jeff Jagodzinski after he interviewed for the Head Coach vacany of the NY Jets. Before he interviewed for the position, he was given an ultimatum by the University that if he did, he would be terminated. He signed a 5 year contract just 2 years ago after being fired by the Green Bay Packers as offense coordinator and apparently is itching to get back into the NFL. Jagodzinski showed no loyalty to a program that gave him a chance to become a head coach when he never had been one in the past. I dont have a problem with someone trying to better their situation. I do have a problem with how he let the other coaches on the staff and players on the team down. Boston College will hire a new coach and most likely replace a lot of the coaches currently under contract. This sort of stuff happens all the time in college athletics, but the way it went down shows what kind of person Jagodzinski is. He knew that he would be fired immediately upon interviewing for a job he had no chance to get. His coaches will now be looking for work because of that decision. How selfish does one person have to be to go through with the interview? I can understand if the Jets had called him, but apparently he contacted them and asked for the interview. They weren't interested in him the entire time. Also, how do the Jets even bother interviewing him in the first place and allow him to get fired? Why didnt they just tell Jagodzinski that they weren't interested. Something fishy going on here.
I applaud Boston College Athletic Director Gene DeFilippo for actually going through with the threat to fire Jagodzinski. DeFilippo didnt even hear the news about the interview from Jagodzinski himself. He found out from a sports reporter. Jagodzinski should have told his AD from the start about the interview. It is about time a coach was asked to honor a contract. Good for Boston College, bad for the coaches and athletes left behind. Hopefully someone on the Boston College staff will be promoted and most of the coaches will keep their jobs.

College Football 2002-2008

USC has won 11 games for an NCAA record 7 straight seasons yet only played in 2 BCS Championship Games. I was curious how they stacked up with the other top programs over the same time period. Interestingly I found that only 7 teams have played for the BCS title in the span with Miami being irrelevant after 2002. So how do USC, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Texas, Florida, and LSU compare?

USC............82-9 .901%
Texas..........77-13 .856%
Ohio St.......76-14 .844%
Oklahoma...78-16 .830%
LSU............72-20 .783%
Florida........66-24 .733%

11 win seasons: USC (7), Texas (4), Ohio St (4), Oklahoma (6), LSU (4), and Florida (2).

3 loss seasons: USC (0), Texas (3), Ohio St (2), Oklahoma (3), LSU (3), and Florida (5).

BCS Records: USC 6-1, Texas 3-0, Ohio St 3-3, Oklahoma 1-4, LSU 4-0, and Florida 2-0

Here is where USC really separates itself: Total number of cumulative points each team lost by over the 7 years time frame and average number of points lost by.

USC 9 losses by 36 points for 4.0 avg
Texas 13 losses by 163 points for 12.5 avg
Ohio State 14 losses by 171 for 12.2 avg
Oklahoma 16 losses by 204 points for 12.8 avg
LSU 20 losses by 253 points for 12.7 avg
Florida 24 losses by 236 points for 9.8 avg

Let that sink in for a second. USC has lost 9 games in 7 years by a COMBINED 36 points! I also found it quite intriguing that only these 6 teams have been chosen by the BCS to play in the Championship Game during the last 6 years. If Utah thinks it has it bad, try being another elite program other than these 6 because odds are you won't get the benefit of the doubt in the polls.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Big 12 South is a Fraud

What does the Big 12 South have in common with any basketball team coached by Mike D'Antoni? Well for one, they score a lot of points. Is a basketball team that shoots early in the shot clock and scores more points better than a team that plays a half-court style? The answer is no. It appears after ESPN shoving the Big 12 South down our throats during November and ABC airing their match ups on Saturday nights nationally, that the Big 12 South is highly overrated. Texas did beat Ohio State (24-21) but Ohio State has proven to be over matched lately by elite teams. Texas was not elite last night. Texas Tech lost to Ole Miss. Oklahoma State lost to Oregon. The Big 12 South, the best division in football if you listened to ESPN, is now 1-2 in bowls. It is not looking good for Oklahoma Thursday night. What happened to the offenses ESPN couldn't talk enough about?

Texas avg 43.9 ppg and only scored 24 in their bowl game.
Texas Tech avg 44.6 ppg and only scored 34 in their bowl game.
Oklahoma State avg 41.6 ppg and only scored 31 in their bowl game.

The obvious reasons for the lack of offense is the lack of defense. It is easy to score a lot of points if neither team bothers to run the ball. Here is why the Big 12 South has struggled so far...RUN DEFENSE!

Texas gave up 73.6 ypg and allowed 203 vs Ohio State
Texas Tech gave up 133.5 ypg and allowed 223 vs Ole Miss
Oklahoma State gave up 123.8 and allowed 307 vs Oregon

Can we look at the 12 nonconference games that these 3 teams played to see if that weakness shows up again? Florida Atlantic, UTEP, Rice, Arkansas, Eastern Washington, Nevada, SMU, UMass, Washington State, Houston, Missouri State, and Troy. Easy 12-0 there. The answer is a resounding no because neither of these 3 teams played anyone of note. The truth finally emerges and it is ugly for Oklahoma's prospects.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Split National Championship

I am convinced more than ever, that there should be a split national championship this year. The only thing I am not convinced of is, who the AP champion should be. For a fan of anyone of a team outside the SEC or Big 12 all we had to hear leading up to the BCS Championship game announcement was how good the conferences were so their champions should play for the title. Well anyone who read my blog would have known that one of the reasons those leagues were ranked so high was because of their out of conference competition being pathetic. As of today the Big 12 South is 0-2 in bowls (Texas and Oklahoma have yet to play) and the SEC powerhouse Alabama got throttled in SEC country by Utah. Whoever loses the BCS title game will add more fuel to the fire for those of us who didnt just follow what ESPN wanted us to believe. If Florida loses, then both of the SEC powers this year would have lost their bowl games making it clearly obvious that the SEC wasnt one of the top 2 leagues this year. If Oklahoma loses, then the Big 12 South would be 1-3 at best in the bowls. That would be pathetic seeming every week we had to watch them play at 8 pm on ABC and listen to how that particular division was the best in all of college football. Well a 1-3 record in the bowls would wipe that theory out. So, either way one of the media contenders will be found out a fraud. The only way to reward a team that should have been there instead is to give them the AP title. If Oklahoma wins, then I believe that Texas should split the title with Oklahoma. After all, they beat Oklahoma head to head. If Florida beats Oklahoma, then it would come down to Utah or USC. I would be happy with either one, but obviously I am biased towards the Trojans. It would be great to Utah win it as well because it would show that a team outside the Big 6 conferences can do it.

On a side note, if Oklahoma loses can we please stop putting them in the BCS title game! The SEC for all their talk would have won 4 of the last 6 championships. Their 4 wins were against Ohio State (twice) and Oklahoma (twice). As a fan of USC (who have been robbed of being in multiple championship games by both Ohio State and Oklahoma) I would love to never see either of those teams get the benefit of the doubt for another decade. Ohio State (assuming they lose tonight) would have lost 3 straight BCS games. The Big 10 would be 0-6 in BCS games the last 3 years and could be 1-6 this year in bowls with a Buckeye lost tonight. Oklahoma would have lost 5 straight BCS games! How you can continually get in games you dont belong in with a background of 5 straight loses is ridiculous. Fight on!